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I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:


Rain & Snow showers tonight - Light Snow Saturday-Light accumulations

Special Weather Statement - MA

...BOSTON BREAKS ALL TIME SEASONAL SNOW RECORD...

AS OF 7PM ON MARCH 15TH...BOSTON LOGAN AIRPORT RECEIVED 108.6
INCHES OF TOTAL SEASONAL SNOWFALL. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF
107.6 INCHES FOR THE 1995-1996 WINTER SEASON.

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Storm tracks close - Light Accumulations Possible

Hazardous Weather Outlook - NH - Special Weather Statement -MA (Snowfall Map)

Storm system pulls away

More Spring-Like Next Week

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See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-By 9AM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Friday, March 27, 2015 7:01 PM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

None

Click on any advisory links above for details

Hazardous Weather Outlooks

New Hampshire

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

TONIGHT

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY. SOME COMMUNITIES IN PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS MAY
PICK UP AN INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION.

Massachusetts

Special Weather Statement Issued for Light Snow - Snowfall Map - 3/27 - 6PM

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Monday

 

 


 

Monday Night

 

 

 

Tuesday

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

 

Wednesday

 

 


 

Wednesday Night

 

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Friday

 

 

 


 

Friday Night

A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 11pm and 1am, then a chance of snow showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of rain showers before 8pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 8pm and 9pm, then a chance of snow showers after 9pm. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

 

 

Saturday

Snow showers likely, mainly before 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

 

 

PB/KE: Snow showers likely, mainly before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 32. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

 

 

 

KE: A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 32. North wind around 10 mph.

 

 

 

Saturday Night

A 30 percent chance of snow showers before 11pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

PB/KE: A 30 percent chance of snow showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

 

Sunday

Sunny, with a high near 40. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

PB/KE: Sunny, with a high near 36. West wind around 5 mph.


 

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

 


Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

See the April 2015 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
Sun setting on daylight saving time? States consider alternative to clock-changing ‘hassle’ - Fox News
Ice Boulder Crashes Through Wilmington Apartment Ceiling - WBZ Boston
Ice Jam Pushes up Into Ohio Cemetery, Toppling Headstones - ABC News
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
Thousands of snow geese fall dead from sky in Idaho - Yahoo News
See the Weather Statistics for February 2015 - RichLefko.com

The fiddling with temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever - Telegraph
Now-- see seasonal snow totals on the Gauges Page - Go take a look


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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

3/27 - 6:59 PM: A slow moving system will track to our south tonight. Every so often the models won't handle a particular weather system well, and this is one of those times. This slow moving system will with a weak surface trough and produce light snow across the region. The heaviest of these will fall from Nashua south to RI. See the MA Map here and the NH snowfall Map is up above in the graphic section. In MA a Special Weather Statement has been issued. Expecting a dusting from Keene to PB, then up to an inch from PB to Nashua with as much as 2" possible Nashua east. Down in central and eastern MA, 2" to 3" is possible. Temps will be around the freezing mark, so the roads will probably be wet, but temps will drop Saturday night into the upper teens and low 20s so any moisture will freeze up and making driving hazardous. The light snow ends Saturday night with a sunny, cool day expected Sunday.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...AND LOW PRESSURE
PASSING OFFSHORE...WILL PRODUCE CLOUDS AND A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. SHOWERS WIND DOWN SUNDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH
CROSSES THE REGION MONDAY FOLLOWED QUICKLY BY A COLD FRONT.
LOW PRESSURE CROSSES OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE LATE NEXT
WEEK.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MOVE FARTHER OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PUSH SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF PRECIPITATION
IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING MORE LIGHT RAIN AND/OR SNOW
SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. LOW PRES MAY APPROACH LATE
NEXT WEEK WITH MORE PRECIPITATION.

TEMPERATURES MARGINALLY FAVOR MAINLY SNOW...ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM
THE IMMEDIATE COAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CRUCIAL TO SNOW
ACCUMULATION. COULD EVEN SEE A TRANSITION TO RAIN WITH JUST A
LITTLE UPWARD NUDGE. MODEL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAVE INCREASED
WITH THIS LATEST GUIDANCE SUITE. THINKING 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW IS
MORE THAN JUST A POSSIBILITY. DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THIS PACKAGE. HOWEVER...
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW LOCATIONS EXCEED THAT
AMOUNT...PARTICULARLY IF THE BAND ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS
CENTRAL MA...NORTHEAST CT AND NORTHWEST RI. THESE ARE ALL
LOCATIONS WITH HIGHER TERRAIN. CONFIDENCE IN THE STORM TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH SATURDAY IS MODERATE AT BEST.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

HIGHLIGHTS...

* SNOW SHOWERS TAPERING OFF DURING SATURDAY NIGHT
* A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY BRINGING SCT SHOWERS
* SPRING LIKE TEMPS MOVE IN FOR TUE-THU
* ALBERTA CLIPPER MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED

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3/27 - 6:07 AM: The back edge of precipitation should continue to track east this morning, slipping offshore later this morning. Meanwhile a cold front along the ST Lawrence River Valley was heading south. As the frontal system hangs near the south coast I expect waves of low pressure to ride along it. A system will ride that wave later today through Saturday. That may bring a 1" to 3" snow fall (See the Hazardous Weather Outlook above) to the MA coast on Saturday, but will mean just some clouds and snow showers for us here in Southern NH tonight thorough Saturday. Sunny weather is expected Sunday with highs around 40°. Expect any standing water to freeze tonight. An active weather pattern through next week.
NOTE: I had technical problems with last nights e-mail. The subject should NOT have mentioned Easter and instead should have said "Colder Saturday before milder weather Sunday and early next week". I apologize for any confusion.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIT INTO THE MARITIMES THIS MORNING. A COLD
FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THE INTERACTION
BETWEEN A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...AND LOW PRESSURE PASSING
OFFSHORE...WILL PRODUCE CLOUDS AND A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. SHOWERS WIND DOWN SUNDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
AREA MONDAY...KEEPING THE REGION COOL AND UNSETTLED.

SYNOPSIS...MA
COLD FRONT OFFSHORE HAS AN AREA OF SHOWERS MOVING ALONG IT UP THE
COAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE LATER THIS
MORNING. A SECOND COLD FRONT IN THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL MOVE
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND OFFSHORE TOWARD EVENING. WEAK LOW
PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH SOUTH
OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

HIGHLIGHTS...

* OCEAN ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT
* A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY BRINGING SCT SHOWERS
* MODERATING SPRING-LIKE TEMPS INTO NEXT WEEK
* ALBERTA CLIPPER MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED

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3/26 - 5:48 PM: Rain tonight with another 1/4" to 1/2" as a cold front crosses the region. Colder air, working in behind the front, will change rain to snow to our north. I think the rain ends before a turnover here in the south. Lows tonight will range from 33° here in PB to 35° in Keene and Nashua. Plenty of clouds around on Friday but the rain will be over by morning. Expect snow and rain showers early. Highs in the low to mid 30s on Friday. Cloudy and colder into Friday night with lows from the mid 20s to around 30°. Winter returns this weekend. I am working on the Weekend Outlook E-mail and that will go out shortly. Join the mail list by clicking on the link below. YOU control it. Sign up and/or cancel all through that link.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS QUEBEC ON
MONDAY AND WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION MONDAY NIGHT.
QUICK MOVING LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

After a milder stretch of weather we now ebb back closer to the late March average today (40s) and below that for the weekend.

Still some shower activity out there this morning (a steady light rain in southern NH and scattered mixed showers farther north). Look for a lot of lingering clouds otherwise with highs between 38-48°.

Saturday morning there could be a few snow showers in southern NH and the possibility of a small accumulation, then the skies clear out (in the afternoon up north and Saturday night in southern NH.) It will be chilly and breezy at times with highs in the mid to upper 30s Saturday.

Sunday will be bright, sunny and slightly warmer with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.

Have a great weekend!

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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