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See the September 2014 Almanac

See the Fall 2014 first look on the Climate Page

I've updated the monthly Rainfall/Snowfall stats

The Weather Statistics for June 2014 have been posted.

See the Atlantic Hurricane Season Info for 2014 PLUS two video reports

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Very warm & humid today - Afternoon/Evening storms possible

Welcome to September

Polar Vortex 2 - Are you ready!

See the first look at Fall 2014 - Maps & Video

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See my detailed instrument readings


 

Very warm and humid with afternoon scattered storms

A hot day down in NY

Warm most of the week

Warm into the late week period

Summer returns for now

Tropics - Tropical Depression forms

The Beach Report

History

Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 


Welcome to Summer in New England


Fall begins at 10:29 PM EDT on September 22, 2014

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-Later on Weekends
Forecasts are for Nashua NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Tuesday, September 2, 2014 6:43 AM

If the Advisory logo is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

TODAY

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY
RESULT IN TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND A VERY LOCALIZED FLOOD THREAT.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THIS WOULD BE IN URBANIZED AREAS. THERE ALSO
IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH GUSTY WINDS.

SATURDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND PERHAPS
VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING ON SATURDAY.

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Monday

 

 


Monday Night

 


Tuesday

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

 

PB/KE: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1pm and 4pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.


 

Tuesday Night

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 3am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Increasing clouds, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 86. Northwest wind 6 to 11 mph.

PB/KE: Sunny, with a high near 80. West wind 5 to 8 mph.


Wednesday Night

Clear, with a low around 57. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

PB/KE: Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light west wind.

 

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon.

PB/KE: Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.

 

 

 

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

PB/KE: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.

 

Friday

 


 

Friday Night

 

 

 

Saturday

 

 


Saturday Night

 

 

 

Sunday

 

 


 

Sunday Night

 

 



Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

See the Septembert 2014 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
Myth of arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker - Daily Mail
Winter blackouts could hit Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, regional grid operator warns - The Washington Times
Cold summer: US daily record minimums outnumbering record maximums 3 to 1 in the last 30 days - WUWT
Icelandic volcano could trigger Britain's coldest winter EVER this year - Sunday Express
Montana, Wyoming Brace for Snow, Cold Temps While Much of the U.S. Sizzles - Weather Underground
ALMANAC PREDICTS COLDER WINTER, HOTTER SUMMER - AP
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
See the Weather Statistics for June 2014 - RichLefko.com
See the latest video and reports around the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season - RichLefko.com

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion: Live Radar is ACTIVE

9/02 - 6:42 AM: A nice sunrise in progress across the region this morning. Humid outside with a hot and humid day ahead. Some foggy areas as well. Some increase in clouds by late this morning and early afternoon ahead of a cold front that will cross the region overnight. There will be some scattered showers and storms this afternoon and tonight as the prefrontal air mass kicks off these storms. See the Hazardous Weather Outlook above. Scattered storms continue tonight with the cold front sweeping offshore quickly by morning. Sunny and warm on Wednesday but much lower humidity with dew point readings in the 50s instead of the 70s. Warm and sunny on Thursday and Friday, but the humidity remains low until Friday when it starts to tick up again.
Elsewhere: Thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of a cold front from the Tennessee Valley to Upstate New York on Tuesday. The storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall that could lead to isolated flash flooding.
See the September Almanac
SYNOPSIS...
HOT AND HUMID ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. DRIER
BUT WARM WEATHER FOLLOWS THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HUMIDITY
WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...AS THE NEXT COLD
FRONT BRINGS THE RISK FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS BY
SATURDAY. COOLER AND LESS HUMID WEATHER FOLLOWS BY NEXT SUNDAY AND
MON.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS:

* DRY THU/FRI WITH VERY WARM AFTERNOON/S
* HUMID WITH SCT SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE SAT
* COOLER AND LESS HUMID SUN INTO MON

9/01 - 5:42 PM: Some isolated thunderstorms have popped up south of the MA Pike late this afternoon. Most won't see one. Any storms will fade with the evening sunset. Very warm and humid on Tuesday with a chance of afternoon/evening storms. By Tuesday night a cold front arrives from the west and that will drive the humid air out of the region. Still warm on Wednesday and into the late week period, but lower humidity.
See the September Almanac
SYNOPSIS...
WARM...HUMID AIRMASS REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. WARM BUT LESS
HUMID WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MAY BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY.

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9/01 - 8:53 AM: Happy Labor Day! A sunny start to the day here in Peterborough. Warm and humid (dew point is already at 68°) conditions across the region with varying amounts of clouds. This is more of a mid summer pattern (See Box # 3 above) and will yield warmer temps than we had on July 4th! Highs today in the mid 80s. A chance for afternoon/evening storms but right now the best chance for those storms will be south of Route 2 and more likely south of the MA Pike. After the sun sets any storm activity will die down. More of the same on Tuesday with a better chance of more widespread storms. A cold front crosses the region by Tuesday night leaving us with warm temps the rest of the week but not nearly as humid.
SYNOPSIS...
A WARM HUMID FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. WARM BUT
LESS HUMID WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY.

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

It is a very warm and humid start to the month of September...and the warmth lasts through the rest of the week.

Expect any early fog to give way to partly sunny skies as the humidity continues. Due to the humidity and a disturbance approaching from the west, passing showers or storms are possible this afternoon and/or this evening. A couple of those storms could have gusty winds or brief heavy downpours. Temps will be in the 80s (few southern spots near 90°) this afternoon.

Behind that front tonight, conditions will turn less humid, but it will still be warm (mid 70s to mid 80s) tomorrow and Thursday with full sunshine.

The humidity returns with the warmer temperatures on Friday ahead of our next true chance of showers and storms (after today) on Saturday. It will feel more like autumn (temps and humidity) starting Sunday.

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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