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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
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I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Warm & Humid - Strong Storms possible this evening

There are Hazardous Weather Outlooks

***Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms late today into the
early overnight hours***


 


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Hot and humid - Afternoon storms

Thunderstorms are possible, mostly western/central areas - Humid

Less humid air begins to push south in the upper midwest

A hot and humid Saturday - Not as bad Sunday

Peak Heat


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See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-By 9AM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Friday, July 22, 2016 6:44 PM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

None

Click on any advisory links above for details

Hazardous Weather Outlooks/Special Weather Statements

New Hampshire/Maine

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MAINE...SOUTH CENTRAL
MAINE...SOUTHWEST MAINE...WEST CENTRAL MAINE...WESTERN MAINE...NEW
HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THIS EVENING.

SATURDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON COULD BECOME SEVERE
AGAIN.

Massachusetts

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TONIGHT.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN RISKS FROM ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT- LINE WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SATURDAY...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...DURING MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING.
MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

MONDAY...THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

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Monday

 

 


 

Monday Night

 

 

Tuesday

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

Wednesday

 


 

Wednesday Night

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

Friday

 

 

 


 

Friday Night

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 10pm and 2am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

 

PB/KE: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 9pm and 1am. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

Saturday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 93. West wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

 

PB/KE: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

 

 

Saturday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

 

PB/KE: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

Sunday

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 88. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Sunny, with a high near 83. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.


 

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening..

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

 


Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

7/22 -  6:43 PM: It was a very hot day across the region with highs in the mid and upper 90s in MA, lower 90s here in Southern NH. Here in PB we had a high temps of 89.5° with a Heat Index reading of 92.1°. Some clusters of thunderstorms have formed to our west and they are tracking east. Most of this activity is down in MA at the moment. A cold front is slowly working south out of Canada. This front will stall and we will remain in the warm and humid air tonight. The proximity of this front will kick off some showers and thunderstorms tonight. See the Hazardous Weather Outlooks above. Not everyone will see one. Hot once again on Saturday, still humid, but temps will not be quite as hot as today. A sunny start to the day but clouds will be on the increase the stalled front begins to move south. A chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon. Less humid air begins to filter in later Saturday night. Not as hot, or as humid on Sunday.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Warm and humid air continues to stream into the region this
afternoon and evening ahead of an approaching cold front. The
front will generate showers and thunderstorms across the area this
evening before stalling. It will also provide the focus for some
additional showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. High pressure
builds from the west on Sunday before moving offshore Sunday
night. Another cold front will move across the region on Monday
giving us another chance for showers and thunderstorms. High
pressure returns on Tuesday for the remainder of the forecast
period.

SYNOPSIS...MA
Scattered thunderstorms with a few possibly strong to severe this
evening before diminishing by late evening. More thunderstorms
may develop Saturday afternoon and early evening, mainly across northern
and eastern Massachusetts. A few of those storms may be severe. Hot
weather is expected to continue this weekend. An approaching cold
front will bring another round of scattered showers and
thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday. More warm weather follows
midweek.

* Risk of strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday afternoon into
early evening across northern and eastern Massachusetts...

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7/22 -  7:00 AM: The record high in Concord NH for this date was 100° in 2011. We won't be close to this record, but it will feel that hot as the humidity builds today. A cold front will press in from the west this afternoon and that will kick off strong to severe thunderstorms. In MA, they have a chance of a weak tornado. Some of the hail could be large. See the Hazardous Weather statements above. The front will then stall across the region and remain there on Saturday. Another warm and humid day with another chance of afternoon thunderstorms. By Sunday, the humidity should be much less but warm with temps in the 80s.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Warm and humid air streams in today as a cold front approaches
from the northwest. This will set off scattered thunderstorm this
afternoon and evening. The cold front stalls over the region on
Saturday before moving south Saturday night. High pressure will
build in from the west Sunday. High pressure will shift offshore
Sunday night. A cold front will approach from the west on Monday
and will push east through the region Monday night. High pressure
will build in from the west Tuesday. A weak cold front will slowly
settle south through the region Wednesday through Thursday.
THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SYNOPSIS...MA
Heat and humidity increase today along with the risk for
scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and
evening, some of which may be severe. There may be a few leftover
thunderstorms Saturday. Hot weather is expected to continue this
weekend. An approaching cold front will bring another round of
scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday. More
warm weather follows midweek.

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

The heat started to build in yesterday, now the humidity comes with it...and that will mean 3 storm chances in the next 4 days...but there will also be a lot of dry hours.

Today will be a hazy, hot, and humid day with a passing t-shower possible this morning. The better chance (30-40%) of a shower or thunderstorm will be this afternoon and evening. While the intensity of any storm is not certain, the potential is there for strong winds with any storm that does develop. Highs will range from 82° in Pittsburg to as high as 94 ° or 95° in Nashua with dew points in the 60s.

A passing shower or thunderstorm is still possible tonight as the latest front moves through.

Now to the weekend...Saturday will feature the sun/cloud combo with a shower or thunderstorm possible (although most of the day will be dry). It will be breezy, hot, but a bit less humid...especially by afternoon. Sunday will be a sunny and very warm day with highs in the mid to upper 80s in many spots.

Have a great weekend!

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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