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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Showers return tonight - Turning Mostly Sunny Wednesday

Hazardous Weather Outlook: NH/ME

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Morning Showers, then turning mostly sunny

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See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates twice per day, weekdays, by 7:00AM and again by 7:30PM- 9AM/7PM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Tuesday, April 23, 2019 6:40 PM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

See any Hazardous Weather Outlooks below


Click on any links above to go to the warning pages

New Hampshire and Maine

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
309 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2019

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>015-241915-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford-
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-
Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-
Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
Coastal Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
309 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, west central Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire,
central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New
Hampshire.

This Afternoon and Tonight.

Rivers continue to to recede tonight. However, a rivers and streams
will remain in flood into Wednesday. If you encounter flooding
remember, do not drive through flood waters no matter how shallow it may look.

Wednesday through Monday.

A coastal low is expected to move through the region Friday and
Saturday. Precipitation associated with this storm has the potential
to cause additional flooding issues.

Massachusetts

None

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Monday

 

 

 

 


 

Monday Night

 

 


 

Tuesday

 

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

Showers, mainly after 2am. Low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

PB/KE: Showers, mainly after 1am. Low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

 

 

Wednesday

A 30 percent chance of showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 15 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

PB/KE: A 30 percent chance of showers before 7am. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 57. West wind 10 to 15 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.


 

Wednesday Night

 

Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

 

 

 

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

PB/KE: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

 

 

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Calm wind.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Calm wind.

 

 

Friday

Rain, mainly after 9am. High near 59. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

PB/KE: A chance of showers between 7am and 9am, then rain after 9am. High near 56. Chance of precipitation is 80%.


 

Friday Night

 

 

 

 

Saturday

 

 


 

Saturday Night

 

 

 


 

Sunday

 

 


 

Sunday Night

 

 



Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page. 

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

4/23 -  6:37 PM:  As one system pulls away from the region this evening, another is already approaching from the west. In between is the nice afternoon and evening currently in progress. Skies will cloud up tonight as the next wave of low pressure moves in with showers after midnight. Rain overnight with showers ending Wednesday morning. Nice weather from Wednesday afternoon until Friday when the next system bring more rain to the region. The models are not clear on the Friday system with regard to rainfall amounts. Stay tuned as we watch what transpires and if flood watches are needed once again.
Hazardous Weather Outlook

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Low pressure off the New England coast will move east into the
maritimes tonight. Another low pressure will move east through
southern Quebec tonight and will continue east through northern
Maine and into the maritimes on Wednesday allowing for more rain
tonight. High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday
night and will shift offshore on Thursday. More rain is expected
Friday night into Saturday in association with low pressure.

HYDROLOGY...
Rivers will remain high through the week with additional
snowmelt and several chances for rain. We will have to monitor
this situation closely, as it would not take too much rain to
cause the rivers to rise again. Not too worried about tonight`s
rainfall as precip amounts are generally expected to be a
quarter inch or less in terms of basin averages. Will also have
to watch for the chance of more significant rainfall Fri- Sat as
some deterministic guidance and ensemble members suggest.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A cold front will bring a round of showers and maybe a rumble of
thunder tonight into Wednesday morning, followed by mainly dry
weather as another high pressure moves across. Thursday could
be the pick of the week with sunshine, light winds and mild
temperatures. Then we get into another stretch of alternating
wet and dry weather Friday into Tuesday, with near to slightly
above normal temperatures.

Discussion...

Southern New England gets stuck right within a transition zone
as several shortwaves move past our region. As each wave moves
by, the path of the mid level flow gets altered, but the overall
average position looks to be right overhead. This will mean
alternating periods of wet and dry weather as each mid level
shortwave and accompanying surface low pressure impacts our region.

Lots of differences in the timing of these various waves,
especially after Sunday. Have the lowest confidence in the
specifics after that point in time. That said, the most likely
periods of wet weather look to be late Thursday night into
Friday evening, then again late Saturday night into Sunday
evening, then Monday evening into Tuesday.

High pressure off to our east will mean well above normal
temperatures Thursday. Temperatures look to be near to slightly
above normal Friday through Tuesday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Highlights...

* Dry Thursday with above normal temperatures
* Active pattern with alternating periods of wet and dry weather
Friday through Tuesday
* Near to above normal temperatures Friday through Tuesday

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4/23 - 6:29 AM: Drizzle and light showers were falling across southern NH this morning with heavier rain to the south. These showers will end this morning and there may be a few peeks of sunshine this afternoon. Seasonably cool today with highs around the 60° mark. Another front is crossing the Great Lakes this morning and that system will bring more showers tonight as it crosses the region. Any leftover showers end Wednesday morning with sunshine returning. Temps will be similar to today. The nicest day of the week will be Thursday with showers returning Friday.
Hazardous Weather Outlook

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Low pressure off the New England coast will move east into the
maritimes today as another area of low pressure approaches from
the west. Low pressure will move east through southern Quebec
tonight and will continue east through northern Maine and into
the maritimes on Wednesday. High pressure will build in from the
west Wednesday night and will shift offshore on Thursday. A cold
front will approach from the west Thursday night and will move
east through the region on Friday. Cyclonic flow will persist
over the region behind the front Friday night and Saturday.

SYNOPSIS...MA
Low pressure east of Nantucket and Cape Cod before sunrise will exit
out to sea today providing a drying trend and sunshine developing
this afternoon from west to east. A weak front will bring a round of
showers tonight into Wednesday morning, followed by mainly dry
weather. Thursday could be the pick of the week with sunshine, light
winds and mild temperatures. Low pressure will then develop along a
cold front as it approaches the region, bringing another round of
showers Friday into early Saturday morning. A drying trend then
develops Saturday afternoon along with cool conditions. Scattered
showers are possible later Sunday followed by dry weather returning
for early next week along with moderating temperatures.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

Highlights...

* Thu likely the pick of the week w/dry weather & highs 65-70
* Showers and cool weather return Friday into early Saturday
* Drying trend likely Saturday afternoon and into Sunday

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

MANCHESTER, N.H. —
The quick moving, unsettled pattern continues for the rest of the week, with two more rounds of showers (and some partial sunshine in between) and fairly seasonal temps.

Today will start with clouds and any lingering lighter showers trying to give way to some partial sun in the afternoon. Highs will range from the 50s closer to the coastline to the low and mid 60s inland.
Showers move right back in tonight. This one is a quick system, so the rain ends early Wednesday morning with limited rainfall amounts and the skies will clear by late Wednesday morning or early afternoon. Again, we'll likely see temps in the upper 50s to low 60s by mid afternoon.

After a partly to mostly sunny and dry day on Thursday (rare lately) and highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s, the next system arrives Friday with more showers.

Note: Several rivers remain under river Flood Warnings until further notice. They include the Connecticut River at North Stratford and Dalton, and the Androscoggin River at Gorham.

These "discussions" are from the NWS, or WMUR Manchester NH, or me.

 

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