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I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
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I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Scattered showers and storms end this evening - Cooler, less humid

Some of these storms will be strong, with gusty winds, torrential rainfall, small hail, and vivid lightning


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Storms end this evening - Cooler, less humid Friday

Cooler-Temps dropping during the day

Showers, warmer

Showers & Thunderstorms this weekend

Much cooler air is on the way


May Temps

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Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-By 9AM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Thursday, May 28, 2015 6:29 PM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

None

Click on any advisory links above for details

Hazardous Weather Outlooks

New Hampshire

None

Massachusetts

None

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Monday

 

 

 


 

Monday Night

 

 

 

Tuesday

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

Wednesday

 

 


 

Wednesday Night

 

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a temperature falling to near 62 by 9pm, then rising to around 76 during the remainder of the night. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight.

 

 

 

 

PB/KE: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northwest after midnight.

 

 

Friday

Mostly sunny, with a temperature falling to around 63 by 5pm. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.


 

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with a temperature falling to near 60 by 9pm, then rising to around 79 during the remainder of the night. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

 

Saturday

A 50 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind around 15 mph.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%..

 

 

 

Saturday Night

Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

 

Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

 

 

PB/KE: Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 


 

Sunday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.




Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

Authorities say 12 missing in Texas floods likely dead, 14 killed in Mexico tornado - Fox News
See the June 2015 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
At least 3 dead, 12 missing as flash flooding sweeps through Texas, Oklahoma - Fox News
Late-May Snow Spoils Spring in at Least Seven States - Weather Channel
One California Farmer’s Battle to Win Water - Fox News
Spiders fall from the sky in Australia leaving what enthusiasts call 'Angel Hair' - Independent
Our climate models are WRONG: Global warming has slowed - Daily Mail
Got a new iPhone 6 Plus? See my case review - MyMac Link
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
See the Weather Statistics for March 2015 - RichLefko.com
Now-- see seasonal snow totals on the Gauges Page - Go take a look

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

5/28 - 6:28 PM: Line of thunderstorms from this afternoon is already heading towards the coast and will be offshore soon. Cooler, less humid air follows behind the front. Lows tonight in the upper 50s and low 60s. A mostly sunny, pleasant day on Friday with mild temps and low humidity. A comfortable Friday night is expected. I am working on the weekend outlook e-mail blast which will be out shortly. Sign up below.

SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS FRIDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND ALLOWING A
WARM AND HUMID SOUTHWEST FLOW TO RETURN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING. COOL...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A WIDESPREAD...SOAKING RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. ON FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND...BRINGING A GREATER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND SOME SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT MAY LINGER NEAR OUR AREA INTO THE
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING BY
MIDWEEK.

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5/28 - 6:39 AM: A cold front was situated across the eastern Great Lakes this morning. That front will begin to move in our direction today and will cross the region by this evening. Ahead of that front warm, and increasingly humid air will stream northward. Ahead of that system showers and storms will break out today. Some of these storms will be strong, with gusty winds, torrential rainfall, small hail, and vivid lightning. See the Hazardous Weather Outlooks above. The front clears the coast by evening with less humid conditions following through Friday. Highs today will be in the upper 80s Nashua, low 80s PB but those highs depend on how much sun breaks through the overcast. Expecting more sun east and south today. I am working on the weekend outlook e-mail blast in the morning. Sign up below. More showers and storms are expected this weekend.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
A WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
WITH GUSTY WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND HAIL...WILL CROSS THE
AREA LATER TODAY BEFORE EXITING THE COAST WITH THE FRONT BY EARLY
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FRIDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST
OVER THE WEEKEND ALLOWING A WARM AND HUMID SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
RETURN. COOL...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A WIDESPREAD/SOAKING RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. ON FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
FOR THIS WEEKEND...A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL BRING ARE GREATER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT MAY
LINGER NEAR OUR AREA INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WEEK...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING BY MIDWEEK.

** A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ***

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5/27 - 5:32 PM: Warm and increasingly humid air is being pumped north on SW winds this evening. A strong line of thunderstorms (See map at the top of the page) is creeping towards the region. Showers and storms for some of us this evening and all of us by Thursday evening as a cold front works across the region. Severe thunderstorm watches are in effect (See the top of this page) for areas in NH and Maine. Warnings are up in VT. Some of the storms tonight and Thursday will be strong to severe with small hail, damaging winds and torrential downpours. Cooler on Thursday, due to cloud cover and the approaching cold front here in PB, but the timing will leave areas east and south in the sunshine longer so Nashua south upper 80s and low 90s are possible once again. I will be working on the weekend outlook e-mail blast in the morning. Sign up below.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
A WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FRIDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST
OVER THE WEEKEND ALLOWING A WARM AND HUMID SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
RETURN. COOL...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT THIS EVENING...WHILE IT REMAINS DRY
ELSEWHERE. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT A WIDESPREAD/SOAKING RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. DURING FRIDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
FOR THIS WEEKEND...A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT MAY LINGER NEAR OUR AREA
INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORKWEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNING BY MIDWEEK.

***A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS EVEN A MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN MA/NORTHERN CT BETWEEN 6 AND 10 PM
THIS EVENING***

*** A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING BUT A WIDESPREAD OUTBREAK IS NOT
EXPECTED ***

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

It has been a very dry month of May...some areas got a good drink of water from the t-storms yesterday, others not so much. More "scattered" storms will be possible this afternoon as the warmth and humidity linger.

A blend of sun and clouds can be expected today along with a chance of a passing shower or thunderstorm as a front moves through. It will be warm and humid again with highs ranging from the 70s in the North Country to mid-upper 80s in southern NH. Locally, heavy rain and gusty winds will be possible with any afternoon storms that develop.

A more comfortable Friday follows with lots of sun along with pleasantly mild temps.

Now to the weekend....Saturday looks sunny and very warm again (highs in the 80s) followed by some showers and thunderstorms Saturday Night into early Sunday before it clears out again.

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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