Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Weather Alerts

 

Hurricane/Tornado/Tropical Storm Advisories


Last updated: Sunday, September 28, 2008 11:38 AM

Hurricane Statement

Hurricane Statement
HURRICANE KYLE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1103 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

...HURRICANE KYLE WILL PASS EAST OF NANTUCKET EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT 355 MILES...575
KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KYLE
SHOULD PASS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THE
COAST OF MAINE TONIGHT. THE STORM WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER NOVA SCOTIA
AND NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KYLE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. KYLE IS MOVING
OVER COLDER WATERS AND WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

ANZ231-232-255-MAZ022-024-291515-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-BARNSTABLE MA-
NANTUCKET MA-
1103 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

...HURRICANE KYLE WILL PASS EAST OF NANTUCKET EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION IN SYNOPSIS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS...

IN MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...

CAPE COD BAY AND NANTUCKET SOUND.

IN MASSACHUSETTS...

BARNSTABLE AND NANTUCKET COUNTIES.

IN RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS...

OUTER COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM SURGE OF 0.5 TO 1.0 FT SHOULD IMPACT THE EAST COASTS OF
CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET...AS WELL AS CAPE COD BAY...DURING THE
MORNING HIGH TIDE. HOWEVER...COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. IN
ADDITION...HIGH SEAS OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES ACROSS THE CAPE
AND THE ISLANDS.

...WINDS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM KYLE SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST OF THIS
AREA. HOWEVER...SOME WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 MPH
OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL APPROXIMATELY 3 PM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR HYANNIS MA...

THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 34 KT /39 MPH/ OR GREATER...
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 8 AM AND 8 PM SUN.

FOR NANTUCKET MA...

THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 34 KT /39 MPH/ OR GREATER...
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 8 AM AND 8 PM SUN.

...INLAND FLOODING...

AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS CAPE COD
AND NANTUCKET THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD LEAD
TO MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM.

 

 

 

 

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