Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2010

2010 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Thursday, July 1, 2010 5:28 PM

Hurricane Alex


Alex is about to form in the Caribbean
Alex forms in the far southern Caribbean

ALEX NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO
NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

...ALEX CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA...

...ALEX MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

...ALEX MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST...

...ALEX GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...

...ALEX BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN MEXICO...

Alex becomes a hurricane ...ALEX GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY OVER THE WARM
WATERS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS...

...ALEX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE MAJOR
THREAT LATER TODAY...

Alex is almost done


BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010

...ALEX MOVING OVER CENTRAL MEXICO...LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
OCCURRING...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 101.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES OVERNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

Gone in Five Days


 

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