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81 Severe Weather Survival Tips Every Homeowner Must Know - Family Handyman

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Two tornadoes reported in MA July 26

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You can always see my current weather reading for Peterborough, NH at WeatherCloud.net

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Showers and storms today - Some strong to severe - Partly sunny Sunday

There are Hazardous Weather Outlooks

Beach goers warned to use caution after great white shark sightings - WCVB 5

VIDEO: Beachgoers Scream ‘Out Of The Water!’ As Shark Sighting Closes Provincetown Beach - WBZ 4

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More showers and storms today

Regional impacts

NASCAR

Some sun, dry

Tuesday night in New England

Wild fires continue

The Tropics

There are no current active storms
(Maps in the hurricane section)


Hurricane Section 2018

NOAA now predicting below-normal Atlantic hurricane season in 2018
That’s a significant shift from original predictions, when National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters back in May said there was a 70 percent chance for an average to above-average season. Now, NOAA forecasters say there’s only a 10 percent chance of an above-average season. Also, NOAA officials said, sea temperatures in the Atlantic and Caribbean have remained cool. That’s bad for hurricanes, which feed off warm water.


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See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

Welcome to Summer in New England


Fall arrives on September 22, 2018 at 9:54 PM EDT

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates twice per day, weekdays, at 7:00AM and again by 7:30PM- 9AM/7PM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Saturday, August 18, 2018 8:33 AM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

None

Click on any links above to go to the warning pages

New Hampshire and Maine

Hazardous Weather Outlook

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Maine, New
Hampshire, central New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of an
approaching cold front early this afternoon. A few of those storms
could be on the strong side, with gusty winds possible.

 

Massachusetts

Hazardous Weather Outlook

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts,
southeastern Massachusetts, and Rhode Island.

Today and tonight.

A few strong thunderstorms are possible across western Massachusetts
late this morning through the afternoon. The primary threats are
locally heavy rainfall which may cause flooding as well as gusty winds.


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Monday

 

Partly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Partly sunny, with a high near 74. East wind around 5 mph.

 


 

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.


Tuesday

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday

 

 

 


 

Wednesday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Friday

 

 

 

 


 

Friday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Saturday

A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Cloudy, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 


 

Saturday Night

 

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

 

PB/KE: A 30 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Calm wind. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

 

 

Sunday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

 


 

 

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind around 5 mph.

 

 

 

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

 

 



Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

Beach goers warned to use caution after great white shark sightings - WCVB 5
VIDEO: Beachgoers Scream ‘Out Of The Water!’ As Shark Sighting Closes Provincetown Beach - WBZ 4
81 Severe Weather Survival Tips Every Homeowner Must Know - Family Handyman
TOXIC LEGACY Poisonous dust from 9/11 attack has given almost 10,000 New Yorkers cancer - The Sun
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
See the August 2018 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
Death Valley records the hottest month - The Sun
Massive great white shark filmed just feet away from oblivious paddle boarder - Fox Science
Great white shark caught in Rhode Island waters - Fox Science
2018 Global Weather-Related Disaster Losses At Record Low (So Far) - Climate Depot
The 2018 Hurricane Tracking Section is now open - Richlefko.com link
2017’s Safest Cities in America - See who was #1
Interested in Apple stuff? iPhones, Macs, etc? See all of my articles at MyMac.com
Got a link to share? Send it to me - RichLefko

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

8/18 -  8:31 AM: Quite a wild night in NH last night. Multiple strong thunderstorms, some with rotation that tripped a tornado warning last night. More showers and storms today. Some with heavy downpours and gusty winds as a cold front pushes across the region. It will be muggy once again with high dew point temps. The front finally pushes offshore tonight and it now appears far enough to give us a partly cloudy, and dry Sunday. Much cooler with temps in the 70s and lower dew point. There are Hazardous Weather Outlooks. We are approaching record rainfall amounts for Concord NH, and we are above the monthly average again here in Peterborough, NH.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Low pressure over northern New England will exit into the
maritimes later today pulling a trailing cold front across the
area. Ahead of this front we`ll see a few showers and
thunderstorms into this evening. High pressure and drier air
will build in from the northeast tonight through Sunday and
then hold over the region Monday and Tuesday. Low pressure will
move in from the west Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure
follows this system for Wednesday night and Thursday.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A cold front sweeps through the region this afternoon and
evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Weak waves of
low pressure will develop along the front off the south coast,
which may bring a few showers at times along with cooler
temperatures Sunday into Monday, especially near the coast.
High pressure returns Tuesday, but another approaching front
will more showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Dry and seasonable weather follows Thursday into
Friday as high pressure builds into the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
* Potential for strong thunderstorms which may produce localized
flooding and gusty winds from midday through early evening *

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights...

* Mainly dry Mon/Tue with temps a bit below normal. Low risk for a
shower near the coast Mon
* Increasing humidity with showers and sct t-storms Tue night/Wed
* Mainly dry and seasonable Thu into Fri with comfortable humidity

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8/17 -  6:57 PM: Brief update with showers and storms rumbling outside, I want to shut this computer down. Strong to severe storms possible tonight. Some isolated tornadoes as well. See the Hazardous Weather Outlooks about. We have a storm bearing down on the Monadnocks at this hour with 60 MPH winds and small hail. More showers Saturday. As the cold front swings through later in the day, that might produce more thunderstorms. Expect a somewhat drier day on Sunday with a chance of some showers in eastern areas as the front moving through Saturday stalls offshore.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
A warm front will cross the region tonight as low pressure
moves through northern Maine. The low will shift east into the
maritimes Saturday with a trailing cold front pushing offshore
by evening. High pressure will build in from the northeast
Saturday night through Sunday and then hold over the region
Monday and Tuesday. Low pressure will move in from the west
Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure will build in from
the west Wednesday night and Thursday.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A warm front moves north of Southern New England tonight. A
cold front sweeps through late on Saturday. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are expected tonight and Saturday. A few
thunderstorms may have damaging weather along with localized
heavy rainfall. A wave of low pressure is expected to develop
along a front south of New England, which may bring showers at
times along with cooler temperatures Sunday into Monday,
especially near the coast. High pressure returns Tuesday, but
another approaching front will bring the risk of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday. Dry and seasonable
weather follows Thursday into Friday as high pressure builds
into the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
* Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through the early
part of the night.
* Potential for localized damaging winds and flash flooding
* Isolated short lived tornado possible this evening

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights...

* Cooler Sun/Mon with showers at times, especially near the
south coast
* Mainly dry Tue, then increasing risk of showers/thunderstorms Tue
night/Wed
* Mainly dry and seasonable Thu into Fri

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

Across the nation todya:

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
336 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018

Valid 12Z Fri Aug 17 2018 - 12Z Sun Aug 19 2018

...Slight risk of severe thunderstorms and flash flooding for the
Northeast with heavy rainfall impacting areas from the Mid-Atlantic to the
Southeast...

...Monsoonal rains may lead to flash flooding across the Southwest...

...Fire weather continue for the western U.S. through tonight...

Active weather is expected across regions from the Northeast to the
Tennessee Valley southward into the southern Plains today. A front slowly
pushing eastward combined with with deep southerly flow pulling abundant
moisture northward will create an environment conducive to showers and
thunderstorms. By this afternoon and evening, scattered to widespread
thunderstorms are expected especially across the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic
and Ohio Valley. Heavy rainfall is expected particularly along the surface
front lifting northward into the Northeast and New England where there is
a chance of excessive rainfall. In addition, a slight risk of severe
thunderstorms is also expected for parts of the Northeast and New England
this afternoon. Another batch of heavy rainfall will concentrate across
parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley. By Saturday, the front will
be draped across the Mid-Atlantic and into the southern Plains--creating
more rounds of convection across these regions along with much of the
Southeast. Some lingering showers can be expected for the Northeast;
however most of the heavier precipitation will be farther south. By
Sunday, as the front sinks south and east, precipitation will begin to
taper off across the Mid-Atlantic while continuing across the Southeast
and southern Plains.

Monsoonal moisture will continue to move into the Southwest which will
fire off convection throughout this region through the weekend. Most of
the activity will occur in the late afternoon and evening. Flash flooding
will be a concern for areas in favorable terrain and urban regions. Check
the latest WPC excessive rainfall outlook to see which areas are of the
most concern. Fire weather will be a concern for areas across the Pacific
Northwest and Intermountain West today as isolated thunderstorms could
trigger additional fires via lightning. Gusts from these thunderstorms
could also quickly spread fires. Most of this area is under a red flag
warning which expires tonight. By Saturday, a cold front will move south
across this region bringing showers and thunderstorms from the northern
Plains to western Montana. By the end of the weekend, thunderstorms across
the Plains can be expected--where there is a marginal risk for severe
thunderstorms for the High Plains and a slight risk of excessive rainfall
for parts of the southern Plains.

These "discussions" are from the NWS, or WMUR Manchester NH, or me.

 

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