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Tracking Tropical Storm Earl, watching Gaston.

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-Later on Weekends

Last Updated: Saturday, September 4, 2010 8:43 AM

Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion: Live Radar is NOT ACTIVE

9/04 - 8:40 AM: Good morning. Tropical Storm Earl is in the Gulf of Maine pulling away from New England. He will make a direct hit on Nova Scotia later today, and then Earl will be no more. Earlier last week we were tracking TS Gaston, who then died out. Well, there are signs that Gaston is regenerating. We'll have to watch this storm if it reforms. Tropical Page. In the wake of Earl, we'll have sunny, dry, much cooler weather throughout the Labor Day weekend. Still seasonably warm. Windy conditions will prevail through Sunday and rip currents will keep people out of the water for most, if not all, of this holiday weekend. I've posted the forecast out through Labor Day. Outlook: Warmer and more humid weather begins to return by Monday.
SYNOPSIS...
TROPICAL STORM EARL WILL QUICKLY PUSH TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA THIS
MORNING. THE REMNANT LOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN QUEBEC AND
LABRADOR INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND THIS WEEKEND...THEN SLIDE OFF THE MID ATLC COAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ANOTHER LOW MAY MOVE WELL NORTH OF THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THAT MAY APPROACH THE
REGION.

9/03 - 6:18 PM: Earl is weaker at this hour as he tracks over colder waters. You know, that cold water we have to swim in. He is a minimal hurricane with winds down to 80 mph. A hurricane hunter plane is in Earl right now looking for hurricane strength winds. If the plane can't find any, the NHC/NWS will downgrade the warnings to just tropical storm. We can see some heavy rain bands coming in from Earl on the live radar. There could be some very heavy rain in the I95 belt tonight. Earl is moving along pretty quickly now, so we've updated the weekend forecast with a sunny Saturday, and sunshine all weekend. Windy conditions on both Saturday and Sunday, but diminishing on Sunday. We'll keep watching tonight and update any watches or warnings as needed.
SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE ITS NORTHEAST TRACK TONIGHT PASSING
ABOUT 50 TO 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AROUND 2 AM SATURDAY.
EARL WILL BRING STRONG WINDS TO OUTER CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS ALONG
WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WESTWARD INTO THE BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE
CORRIDOR. EARL WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY...
FOLLOWED BY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK

Advisory Area:

Regional Weather Discussion ...

After 5 days of sizzling heat, temps finally dropped a bit on Friday. It was still quite warm and certainly very humid, but things are about to change. We are tracking a weaker Earl, now a tropical storm, which will pass well to our southeast overnight.
The northern edge of Earl will combine with a front to the west to produce occasional showers and downpours through the predawn hours of Saturday AM. Heavy rain in spots could lead to some ponding on area roadways, so allow a few extra minutes if traveling overnight. Any rain should wind down quickly towards daybreak. With the path that Earl is on, winds will generally be light, although some gusts close to 30 mph along the coast cannot be ruled out overnight. The surf will continue to be rough right through Saturday and Sunday, so keep that in mind if you plan to hit the beach.
Saturday looks bright, breezy(westerly winds behind a cold front will actually be stronger statewide than any winds from Earl), and much less humid(especially by midday and afternoon). It will be comfortably warm with highs in the 70s north and 80s south.
Sunday will average out mostly to partly sunny south and partly sunny north(where there is a slight chance of a spot pm shower). Temps will be a bit cooler, with highs in the upper 60s north and low to mid 70s south. As for Labor Day, look for some sun and milder temps.
==========
This summer has been characterized as "hotter than usual" and the words "record" heat have been used frequently. In some areas that has been true, but it is always hotter or cooler "somewhere" else. What I don't hear much about is those "cooler" places. However, if we move away from the media hype, and just look at the data, we see a typical New England summer with temps that were near or at normal. Yes, it has been a dry summer, drier than average, and a cooler summer has been reported, though very little, in other places around the country as well. For example, California has been much colder than normal. Even places you thought were normally very hot, have not been, like Houston Texas where temps have not hit the 100° mark all summer. My point here is, don't fall for all the media hype. RL

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