Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Weather Alerts

 

Weather Alerts for Connecticut, Upstate NY, and parts of Long Island

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Last updated: Friday, July 10, 2020 4:46 PM

Flash Flood-Tropical Storm Warnings
Scroll down to see ALL the warnings

 

Coastal CT & LI/NYC

Tropical Storm Warning
Fay Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service New York NY AL062020
1111 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

CTZ009-102315-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Southern Fairfield-
1111 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Stamford
- Norwalk
- Bridgeport

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 50 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Saturday
morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.

* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Rivers and streams may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and may overspill their banks in a few places,
especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
creeks and canals may overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

================================

 

NE NY State - Albany/Troy/Hudson Valley/Schenectady

Flash Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albany NY
257 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-110300-
/O.CON.KALY.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-200711T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern
Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern
Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern
Dutchess-
Including the cities of Kingston, Pine Plains, Stanfordville,
Arlington, Jefferson Heights, Athens, Woodstock, Thomaston, Great
Barrington, Napanoch, West Hurley, Pittsfield, Amenia, Hunter, West
Shokan, Dover Plains, Beacon, Poughkeepsie, New Paltz, New Milford,
Wingdale, Hudson, Hancock, Florida, Oakville, North Adams,
Coxsackie, Windham, New Lebanon, Torrington, Gaylordsville,
Ellenville, Tannersville, Millbrook, South Egremont, Cairo,
Catskill, Kerhonkson, Prattsville, Terryville, Sundown, Dalton,
Sandisfield, and Pawling
257 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northwestern Connecticut...western Massachusetts and
east central New York, including the following areas, in
northwestern Connecticut, Northern Litchfield and Southern
Litchfield. In western Massachusetts, Northern Berkshire and
Southern Berkshire. In east central New York, Eastern Columbia,
Eastern Dutchess, Eastern Greene, Eastern Ulster, Western
Columbia, Western Dutchess, Western Greene and Western Ulster.

* Through Saturday morning

* Tropical low pressure moving northward along the New Jersey coast
will bring periods of showers to the region this afternoon into
Saturday morning. Rainfall rates may reach up to one inch per hour.

* Heavy rainfall falling in a short period of time will allow for
potential flooding of poor drainage and low lying areas. Localized
flash flooding will also be possible, especially in urban areas.



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