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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
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I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Your Information Source for Weather in New England!!   


Breaking Weather Headlines:

P/Sunny start today - Increasing clouds - Mild - A shower this evening

Special Weather Statement: - Black Ice this morning - NH/ME

February Thaw Moves Into The Eastern U.S.

On This Day in 1969: "100-Hour Storm" Strikes New England - 8 FEET of snow on MT Washington

Dallas sees 80-plus degree temp swing in just 1 week

One thousand snowmen built in Poland to raise money for toddler

Surreal vision of frozen trees on Louisiana lake - Youtube-18 Seconds

Video: Texas Snow Storm Transforms Del Rio Into Stunning Winter Landscape

Thousands Evacuate Ahead of Tropical Storm in the Philippines

We have 62.5" here in Peterborough, NH, thus far.


Site News: This website is now under reconstruction. While I will continue to update the weather twice per day, I will not be updating some of the other sections, and in fact, you may encounter dead links to various pages. The Alert pages with all of the Winter Storm Info will continue to be updated as will Precipitation Totals and the instrument readings. I look forward to launching the new site in the months ahead and I welcome you as you join me on this journey!! Thanks for sticking with me these past 20 years. The best is yet to come!


See my detailed instrument readings

 

 

Snow Tracks North - Increasing clouds south

Dry, but colder

Next Weekend - Which Track?

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Patterns this week and beyond - Other News

 

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Fractal Patterns in Dried out Desert Rivers

 

 

See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

Welcome to WINTER in New England


SPRING arrives on SATURDAY, MARCH 20, 2021 at 5:37 AM EST

Laugh for Today
You might be a Red neck if...
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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates twice per day, weekdays, by 7:00AM and again by 7:30PM--- 9AM/7PM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Wednesday, February 24, 2021 6:52 AM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

Follow the links

New Hampshire and Maine

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
1159 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>015-241300-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-
Coastal Waldo-Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-
Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-
Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-
Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron,
Middle Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc,
Rangeley, Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua,
Long Pond, Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman,
Bethel, Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry,
Rumford, Norway, Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon,
New Vineyard, Temple, Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens,
Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra, Pittsfield, Embden, Madison,
Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford, Goodwins Mills, Buxton,
Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray, North Windham, Gorham,
Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn,
Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor, Vassalboro,
Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox, Liberty,
Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford, Saco,
Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth,
South Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden,
Alna, Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden,
Hope, Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont,
Lincolnville, Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield,
Colebrook, Berlin, Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster,
Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton, Sugar Hill, Thornton,
Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway, Albany, Conway,
Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth, Holderness,
Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield, Ossipee,
Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Claremont, Cornish,
Croydon, Goshen, Grantham, Lempster, Newport, Charlestown,
Boscawen, Canterbury, Concord, Dunbarton, Loudon, Hooksett,
Laconia, Gilford, Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover,
Rollinsford, Somersworth, Durham, Madbury, Gilsum, Keene, Marlow,
Sullivan, Surry, Jaffrey, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem,
Atkinson, Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter,
Greenland, Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls,
North Hampton, Seabrook, Amherst, Milford, Mont Vernon,
Goffstown, Peterborough, Sharon, and Weare
1159 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...ICY SPOTS ON ROADS TONIGHT...

Recent snow melt has led to wet conditions and puddles on some
roads, especially in areas that had recent snowfall. With
temperatures near freezing tonight and ground temperatures still
quite cold, some icy spots are possible until the sunrise. Use
caution when driving and be alert for unexpectedly slick
conditions in spots.

Massachusetts

None


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Monday

 

 

 

Monday Night

 

 


 

Tuesday

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday

Increasing clouds, with a high near 50. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

PB/KE: Increasing clouds, with a high near 44. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

 


 

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South wind around 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A 40 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Southwest wind around 15 mph becoming west after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

 

 

 

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 40. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. West wind 10 to 15 mph.

 

 

 

 

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 18. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly clear, with a low around 15. West wind around 5 mph.

 

 

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 38. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.

PB/KE: Sunny, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.

 

 


 

Friday Night


Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 18.

 

 

Saturday

 

 

 

 


 

Saturday Night

 

 

 


 

Sunday

 

 


 

Sunday Night

 

 

 



Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page. 

Links of Interest

Video: Meteor Lights Up Sky Over Alberta, Canada - Weatherbug
On This Day in 1987: Light From Supernova 1987A Reaches Earth - Weatherbug
Safest States During COVID-19 - Wallethub
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
Massive Mudslide in Switzerland || ViralHog - Youtube
See the Spring 2021 Outlook - RichLefko.com Climate Page
See the February 2021 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
The Greatest 24-Hour Snowfalls in All 50 States - Weather Channel

How to Survive 5 Extreme Weather Scenarios - Outside

Areas of NH remain in Drought Stage - Drought Monitor
18 Things You Should Never Do at Home During Severe Weather - Family Handyman

81 Severe Weather Survival Tips Every Homeowner Must Know - Family Handyman
TOXIC LEGACY Poisonous dust from 9/11 attack has given almost 10,000 New Yorkers cancer - The Sun
Interested in Apple stuff? iPhones, Macs, etc? See all of my articles at MyMac.com
Got a link to share? Send it to me - RichLefko


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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

2/24 -  6:39 AM:  Black Ice is around this morning, so beware. Today will probably be the mildest day of February. Enjoy it. The last time temps were this high was FIVE WEEKS ago. The system that brought clouds late yesterday is pulling away to the NW this morning. A southerly flow with set up today. This allows temperatures to warm to values not seen in many weeks... to the upper-30s (western ME mountains) to upper-40s (southern interior NH/coastal plain). Even the Upper Connecticut River Valley stands to warm into the 40s as warm air funnels northward and could be an over-performer today in terms of the high temperature forecast. Bands of forcing associated with the approaching shortwave will produce some light shower activity over the mountains, but most precipitation holds off until tonight. Later this evening, the cold front associated with the passing shortwave crosses the region. In addition to widespread shower activity over the mountains... there is some consensus that a round of light rain/snow accompanies the front over the lowlands with up to a few hundredths of precipitation possible. So the chance of a few showers here in the Monadnocks. Little if any impacts are expected with this passing system with mild temperatures leading to rain for the lower elevations and a rain/snow mix for northern valleys. Only up at the international border (and above around 2 kft over the northern zones) do temperatures stay at or below freezing; up to 4-6" of snowfall accumulation is possible there. In the wake of the passing front, after around midnight, models agree that a period of strong cold air advection takes us through the night and into Thursday. This allows for a couple things... first, PoPs are quickly relegated to the mountains as downsloping drys the lower portion of the column. Second this kicks mixing into overdrive, allowing winds to increase. So for Thursday, expect upsloping snow showers to continue into midday with stratocumulus clouds keeping temperatures in the 20s. Downwind of the mountains over the coastal plain however, downsloping and mixing will allow temperatures to climb through the 30s to near 40 during the day with some cumulus cloud cover. High pressure will build east Thursday night before crossing the region on Friday. Strong cold air advection will draw H8 temperatures as low as zero over northern areas during the night. Despite having a well mixed layer, temperatures will bottom out in single numbers in the north to the teens in the far south. The model suite remains in relatively good agreement indicating a weak system will cross Maine and New Hampshire on Saturday. A quick shot of warm air advection will lead to snow during the morning hours. Enough warm air will likely enter the region to change the precipitation over to rain during the afternoon hours for this light event. Model ensemble means suggest light accumulations of snow prior to the changeover. Stay tuned.

Special Weather Statement for this morning - Black ice

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Today features well-above normal temperatures and increasing
clouds ahead of a quick-hitting system passing through the
north later tonight. Light rain and snow showers accompany the
front but a few inches of snowfall will be possible over the
higher terrain. After a breezy day on Thursday, high pressure
moves in Friday then gives way to another relatively weak low
pressure system over the weekend. A cold front crosses the
region Monday followed by more high pressure on Tuesday.

SYNOPSIS...MA
Mild weather ahead of a fast moving clipper system. The cold
front associated with the system swings through tonight and
could bring a few light rain showers. Blustery with slightly
cooler than normal temperatures on Thursday. Periods of
unsettled weather late this week into early next week with a
series of fast-moving features passing by southern New England
every couple of days into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

Highlights

* Above normal temperatures across southern New England today.
Increasing cloud cover and perhaps a few rain showers
spreading into western areas late.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...

Highlights

* Clipper system quickly slides through bringing a few light
rain showers this evening. Skies clearing late tonight.

* Breezy, cool and quiet weather on Thursday.

2/23 -  4:37 PM:  We have clouded over this afternoon in Peterborough, NH. A de amplifying short wave trough will lift north and east of the forecast area this evening. Some light precipitation will be associated with it, bringing a chance of rain and snow showers to our western zones this evening. The precipitation is expected to be mainly light and short-lived. Clearing later tonight downwind of the mountains may allow for the formation of black ice at locations where winds go calm. Overall, we`re looking at lows above normal - mainly in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Stout Warm Air Advection will occur on Wednesday allowing for increasing clouds but warm temperatures. A few spots on the coastal plain may reach 50 degrees. Later on in the day as low pressure moves up the St. Lawrence Valley, a trailing cold front will likely bring rain and snow showers to the mountains with most of the rest of the forecast area remaining dry. A progressive and wavy pattern will continue through at least early next week. A series of short-waves will move through northern New England, which will bring chances for scattered rain and snow showers but no major systems are currently expected. Daily temperatures will be both above and below average, although above average will be more predominant. Some locally icy spots will be possible each morning as daytime temperatures rise well above freezing allowing for melting of snow and ice before refreezing at night. Rain and snow showers on Saturday afternoon and Saturday night may result in locally slick travel conditions. On Thursday a short-wave will be quickly exiting over northern New England which will likely result in a continued risk for scattered rain and snow showers during the morning, especially across the mountains. While an isolated rain or snow shower will be possible for the foothills and coastal plain, gusty northwesterly winds at the surface will result in downslope flow south of the mountains which should keep most areas dry. High temperatures will range from the middle and upper 20s across the far north and mountains to near 40 degrees across southern NH and southwestern ME. It will feel colder than actual thermometer readings though as northwesterly winds may gust as high as 25-30 mph at times. Skies will become mostly clear on Thursday night south of the mountains which will allow temperatures to fall to near zero across the north with teens and single digits south. High pressure will then move into New England on Friday through the first half of Saturday with colder temperatures despite mostly sunny skies. Some locations may struggle to get above the freezing mark on Friday but winds will not be as gusty as compared to Thursday and therefore windchill will likely only be 5-10 degrees colder than actual air temperatures. A wave of low pressure will then cross through New England on Saturday afternoon through Saturday night, which will likely result in both rain and snow. Stay tuned.

Hazardous Weather Outlook: NH/ME

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
Temperatures will remain above normal through Wednesday.
Meanwhile, a few rain or snow showers will be possible this
evening as a weak frontal system moves through. A cold front
will move across New England Wednesday night with more scattered
showery precipitation and perhaps a few inches of snow in the
mountains. High pressure moves in Friday then gives way to
another relatively weak low pressure system over the weekend.

SYNOPSIS...MA
Scattered rain or snow showers this afternoon. Clearing tonight
then increasing clouds again with above normal temperatures
Wednesday. Periods of unsettled weather late this week into
early next week with a series of fast-moving features passing by
southern New England every couple of days into early next week.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Highlights

* Any showers end during the evening and skies clear tonight.

* Increasing cloud cover and may see some light precipitation
spreading into western areas by late Wednesday. Above normal
temperatures.


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- 02/20/2021 - This website is now under reconstruction. While I will continue to update the weather twice per day, I will not be updating some of the other sections, and in fact, you may encounter dead links to various pages. The Alert pages with all of the Winter Storm Info will continue to be updated as will Precipitation Totals and the instrument readings. I look forward to launching the new site in the months ahead and I welcome you as you join me on this journey!! Thanks for sticking with me these past 20 years. The best is yet to come! Suggestions? What do you want to see? Going very slow folks. Between new hardware and new software, I think you can expect an updated site during Spring/Summer 2021that will be device compatible no matter what you are using.
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Regional Weather Discussion ...

Manchester NH:

A sharp cold front arrives this evening after a mild day today with temps for most into the 40s.
It will be even milder on today (38-48 from north to south) along with some sun and a gradual building of clouds. A few mixed/snow showers are possible late day in northern NH with scattered snow showers north and a passing rain or mixed shower south tonight as a cold front moves through.

After clearing skies overnight tonight, colder air spills in behind that front, and settles into the state for the end of the work-week.

Thursday will be bright, windy and seasonably chilly (25-38) with more sun and less wind along with chilly temps on Friday: 25-35.

The next system with a wintry mix likely takes over Saturday with a day of sun and clouds on Sunday.

These "discussions" come from either me, WMUR weather center, or the NWS.


 

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