Weather for New England and the Northeast

**Area Forecast Discussion**

National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA

154 PM EST Friday, November 13, 2026

**What Has Changed**

Gale Warnings have been downgraded to Small Craft Advisories across the coastal waters. Gale Warnings have also been canceled across the ocean waters.

**Key Messages**

\- Mainly cloudy conditions with a slow warming trend through Saturday night.

\- An extended period of dry weather is expected for most, if not all, of next week, featuring chilly nights and mild afternoons. High temperatures will climb to above normal levels, reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s during the middle and latter portions of next week. A day or two could even reach the middle 60s in some locations.

**Discussion**

**Key Message 1: Mainly cloudy with slow warming through Saturday night**

Southern New England will remain under a cyclonic flow pattern at the surface through Saturday night. This means winds will circulate around an area of low pressure, helping maintain generally unsettled atmospheric conditions. A disturbance in the middle levels of the atmosphere, known as a shortwave, is expected to approach Saturday afternoon and pass overhead Saturday night.

The main question is how much moisture will be available as this system moves through. Current expectations favor mostly cloudy skies. A stray rain or snow shower cannot be completely ruled out in parts of northwestern Massachusetts, particularly near the Berkshires, where upslope flow could help produce some additional precipitation. Upslope flow occurs when winds push air up elevated terrain, allowing it to cool and potentially produce clouds or precipitation. However, lower levels of the atmosphere should gradually become drier, making the overall chance of precipitation very small.

Overnight low temperatures have been adjusted upward from previous forecast guidance because cloud cover should limit the amount of overnight cooling. This is known as radiational cooling, which normally allows temperatures to drop when skies are clear and winds are light.

North winds will gradually turn more westerly late tonight into Saturday. This subtle wind shift should limit the arrival of colder air, while any breaks of sunshine will help temperatures gradually rise early this weekend. Even with this improvement, temperatures are still expected to remain slightly below normal into Sunday.

A Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for north-facing shores of Cape Cod Bay and Nantucket. Gusty winds combined with astronomical high tides could result in minor coastal flooding or water splashing over vulnerable shore areas during the hours surrounding high tide this afternoon.

**Key Message 2: Extended dry weather next week with chilly nights and mild afternoons**

Long-range forecast models are in very good agreement that an upper-level trough will shift east of the region early next week. An upper-level trough is an elongated area of lower atmospheric pressure that often helps support cooler and more unsettled weather.

As this feature moves away, it will be replaced by upper-level ridging, an area of higher atmospheric pressure in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere. This pattern generally supports more stable conditions and fewer opportunities for precipitation.

The result should be an extended stretch of dry weather for most, if not all, of next week. High temperatures will gradually climb to above normal levels during the middle and latter portions of the week, with afternoon readings generally reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s. Some locations could even reach the middle 60s for a day or two.

Mainly clear skies and light winds will allow temperatures to drop considerably at night. Overnight lows are expected to settle into the 20s and 30s, which is typical for this time of November.

Overall, a quiet and dry week of weather is expected across the region. A fairly large difference between daytime and nighttime temperatures is likely, with chilly nights followed by mild to above-normal afternoons.