Another chilly morning, but not quite as cold as yesterday morning. Gusty winds will continue to be a factor in todays weather. The combination of winds and low humidity have triggered elevated fire warning again. See the advisory panel for details.
Windy conditions resume again today shortly after sunrise. It won`t be quite as windy as yesterday, but gusts to 35 MPH will be possible. It will be a good deal warmer than yesterday, though, by about 20 degrees. Most areas will reach the 50s with a few 60 degree readings possible. A stray shower is possible mainly in the mountains this afternoon, but for the most part it should be a dry day with a lot of sunshine beneath broadly subsident flow on the southwest side of the large low pressure system over the Gulf of Saint Lawrence.
The low drifts a bit further to the north and east bringing our area more under the influence of upper level ridging with surface high pressure passing by to our south on Saturday. Being on the northern edge of this high, we won`t fully lose our winds. In fact, gusts to 20 MPH are still possible on Saturday, but with even warmer temperatures. Widespread 60s are expected with some 70s possible as well where westerly downslope winds aid in low level mixing across southeast NH and far southwest ME. We will likely see a sea breeze influence especially along the coast of Maine, keeping things cooler from Portland eastward.
The latest models on that Sunday storm are now showing less rain than before. It is possible that we may now NOT get any rain from this system, but the models do suggest some measuable amounts. I will keep an eye on this as we get closer. Sunday may just end up being a cloudy day. We’ll see.
Monday - Tuesday: Regardless of how strong the coastal low pressure system is...it will move east of the region on Monday...likely strengthening and allowing increasing northwesterly flow to develop across the forecast area. Thus...despite increasing amounts of sunshine...expect similar temperatures to those on Sunday...likely just a bit cooler in the mountains with some residual upslope cloud cover and just a bit warmer to the south and east.
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Temperatures will moderate today and Saturday as a ridge of high
pressure builds in from the west. Low pressure will pass south
of the region on Sunday bringing the potential for some rain
before northwest winds bring drier conditions for Monday. A
significant warming trend is expected by the middle of next
Dry, but breezy conditions today with a warming trend through
Saturday. A coastal storm will bring periods of rain Sunday followed
by blustery and drier conditions Monday. Dry with a warming trend
Tuesday, then a backdoor front could bring cooler temperatures
Wednesday and Thursday, but the location of the front is uncertain.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
* Elevated fire weather concerns for much of southern New England
today. Will be gusty with moderating temperatures.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
* Cool with periods of rain late Saturday night into Sunday
* Dry and blustery Monday with seasonable temps
* Dry with a warming Tue
* Possible backdoor front Wed/Thu? Low confidence temp forecast
Updates twice per day, weekdays, by 7:00AM and again by 7:30PM - 9AM/7PM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) to Keene NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)
...Elevated Fire Weather Danger Predicted Today...
A very dry air mass and breezy conditions will combine with dead
and dry fuels such as grass, leaves, and twigs to create the
potential for uncontrolled fire spread across the southern half of
New Hampshire today. This afternoon, relative humidity values
will decrease to low levels below 30 percent. At the same time
westerly winds between 15 and 20 mph with frequent gusts to
30 mph will continue to dry fuels and increase fire spread
potential. The worst conditions are expected between 10 AM and
7 PM. Wind gusts are expected to diminish this evening with
increasing relative humidity values.
Extra caution should be taken to prevent wildfires. Always consult
with local fire officials before engaging in any open burning
activities and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Never leave an open fire unattended and always extinguish
campfires completely before leaving.
Sunny, with a high near 60. Breezy, with a west wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 55. Breezy, with a west wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Clear, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Clear, with a low around 37. West wind around 10 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 10 mph.
A 30 percent chance of rain after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
A 30 percent chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Calm wind.
Rain. High near 55. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Rain, mainly before 5pm. High near 52. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
A chance of rain before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
A chance of rain before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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We are in between systems as we wait for the next one over the weekend and some warmer temps for next week.
Any clouds early Friday morning will give way to mainly sunny skies, however winds will remain gusty (few more westerly gusts over 30 mph) through the afternoon. Highs will climb back into the 50s, but it will feel cooler than that with the wind in the afternoon. An elevated fire danger is expected today too.
After a bright and warmer start to the weekend (highs in the middle to upper 60s that afternoon), an area of low pressure will form ahead of an approaching cold front off the coast of southern New England on Sunday.
This low has looked like a good dose of rain for the last few days on the maps, but the latest are hinting at clouds and lighter showers as the system doesn't totally come together until it passes to our east. Highs will be in the 50s Sunday.
Behind that system, high pressure will develop and strengthen early next week. As a southerly flow builds around it, we expect warmer temperatures to build in.
Under a blend of sunshine and clouds, high temperatures will climb into the 60s Tuesday, and 70s are likely for both Wednesday and Thursday/
Have a great weekend!
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