Updates twice per day, weekdays, by 7:30AM and again by 7:30PM.
9AM and 7PM on Weekends.
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) to Keene NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)
The Weekend Outlooks are added every Thursday morning. (Forecasts through Sunday)
Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 44. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 41. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Rain likely after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Rain after 1pm. High near 46. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Rain, mainly before 1am. Low around 33. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Rain before 4am, then a chance of snow. Low around 32. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
KE: Rain before 5am, then a chance of snow. Low around 33. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
I observed snow falling today in Keene, Marlborough, and Dublin here in NH, but the flakes did not make it as far east as Peterborough.
We are looking at a very active period of weather starting this weekend. See the long range discussion below.
There`s just enough of an upslope component in the low-level flow for a few snow showers to continue in the Whites, but I don`t think these will last more than a couple more hours as the flow will back to more west to southwesterly. Otherwise, high pressure shifts east tonight as a weak disturbance passes mostly to the north of the area. This will bring an increase in clouds across the area, especially across the north, where a couple of snow showers may also occur near the International Border. Winds become light and southwesterly allowing Warm Air Advection to kick in, and combining with the cloud cover, temperatures probably won`t fall too much overnight, perhaps even come up a couple of degrees.
Dry air aloft and a subsidence inversion will keep precipitation out of the forecast with mostly to party sunny skies during the day on Thursday. The Warm Air Advection will also give us a warmer day with high temperatures expected to be generally in the lower 40s south of the mountains (based on mixing) while remaining in the 30s farther north.
Quiet conditions continue into Thursday night, and even though skies are forecast to be mostly clear south of the mountains, I think the winds may stay up enough to prevent strong radiational cooling for most areas, except the more sheltered areas. Forecast lows are still mostly in the 20s, although southern and coastal areas may stay in the low 30s. For the mountains, more clouds are expected as a weak frontal boundary approaches, which may also trigger some light snow across the far north.
Overview: Weak low pressure passing to our south on Friday will be the start of a very active extended period. A cold front looks to stall over the region through the weekend, and with multiple shortwaves also swinging through, chances of precipitation will exist through the majority of this period. The strongest wave looks to arrive in the Monday-Tuesday time frame but uncertainty among the models is still very high.
Details: Continued southwesterly flow will drive temperatures to near 50 degrees along the coast and southern interior, and low to mid-40s elsewhere. Clouds increase through the day as weak low pressure approaches the area. Guidance has trended toward a more northward track that drives more moisture up into our area. This event still looks to be mainly a rain or snow event as ensembles show temperatures solidly above (southern zones) or below (far northern zones and higher elevations) freezing during the duration of the event. While PoPs have increased for the area, ensemble suites are still in good agreement that precipitation will be around 0.25". Light rain and even lighter snow will be pretty much over with by daybreak on Saturday, but high pressure will not be building as expected and will be staved off by a cold front that looks to stall over the area. A weak wave may ride this boundary and spread scattered showers across the area.
Weak waves will continue to ride this stalled boundary through Sunday, but this is where models begin to differ on the arrival of a stronger wave development of a potential coastal low pressure. The Euro and Canadian models are favoring this system to get organized Sunday night and move through Monday, while the GFS organizes it and pushes it through almost exactly 24 hours later. Based on how things have changed just recently at the beginning of the period. It seems to still be much too early to try to nail down a time frame. While this looks like a better chance to get some snow flakes down to the coast, ensembles are not in good agreement that we can hold on to the cold air and it shows in the deterministic runs that have begun to show the rain south of the mountains, snow north, pattern we have been seeing.
The Euro and Canadian models show an end to the parade of disturbances in the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe and high pressure blossoming across the eastern half of the United States. While the 7AM run of the GFS shows a very deep trough and continued chances of precipitation. With all the model flip flopping that has been going on, I stayed close to the National Blend of Models guidance and will hope that models can start to agree on some of these features as time goes on.
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11/25/2023 - Find the current Flu Risk graphic in the Weather Graphic #3 panel
11/23/2023 - I have added a Snowfall Graph to the Precipitation Totals page.
11/02/2023 - Now available, the Accuweather 2023/2024 Winter Outlook in the Special Reports Section. I have added the Climate Prediction Center?Äôs Winter forecast estimate to this page.
08/29/2023 - I had added some pixs to the VISTOR Submission page. Send me your weather pics!
08/05/2023 - Link to my weather instrument reading on Weather Underground - Weather Readings
Precipitation amounts have been updated for October - Link
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Much warmer weather is expected for Thursday and Friday before a low pressure system will make for unsettled weather on Friday night. A prolonged stretch of unsettled weather is possible through the weekend with a stronger system possible early next week.
High pressure provides quiet weather pattern through early Friday morning. Low chance of an isolated flurry or sprinkle across a limited portion of southeast Massachusetts overnight. However we head into a more active weather pattern for late this week through early next week. While there will be several opportunities for cloudiness and rainy conditions in this period, storm systems through early next week look to be weak and progressive. A stronger frontal system may develop around early to mid next week. Temperatures trend above normal late this week into the weekend, before a cooldown for early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
* Isolated flurry or sprinkle Wednesday evening for portions of
* Another chilly night ahead with light winds and clear sky.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
* Dry conditions continue Thursday along with warmer afternoon
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
* Active pattern as several weak frontal systems moving through
Southern New England bring mainly light rains Fri thru the
weekend. Temps through the weekend trend above normal, especially
with nighttime lows.
* Pattern change around early to mid next week may offer a stronger
frontal system around Mon or Tue but uncertainty is large. Temps
early to mid next week trend cooler with near to below normal
See the current readings from my weather instruments here in Peterborough, NH.
Click on the Wind Vane to see Live Weather Info
Chilly temps, but it looks quiet until late week, when some rain moves in by later Friday. A few additional passing showers will be possible over the weekend.
Partly sunny skies today with a brisk westerly wind making for a chilly feel to the air. Highs will still be in the 30s, but it will feel more like teens this morning and 20s this afternoon if you are going to be outdoors for any length of time.
Fair skies for most tonight, lows will drop between 14-24¬? by morning.
More sunshine Thursday with a light breeze. Highs will get back into the 40s.
Temperatures continue to trend up toward late week, but our next chance for showers arrives by Friday afternoon.
Right now, it looks like we could have a passing shower or two either day this weekend under mostly cloudy skies (lots of dry hours mixed in between.)
This section is updated every morning.
Last Update: 11/29 - 8:45 AM
The current average temperature spread for this time of year:
High: 40 Degrees
Low: 22 Degrees
Record High: 1990: 63 Degrees
Record Low: 1901: 1 Degrees
Current conditions atop Mount Washington:
Light Showers Snow Freezing Fog Blowing Snow and Windy
Current temperature: -2.8 degrees - Wind Speed: 66.9 MPH
Wind Chill: -38 degrees
Wind Gusts: 85 MPH - Highest gust last 24 hours: 100 MPH
Tip: Hover over a bar with your cursor to see the actual number.
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